The Extraordinary Madness of Crowds

"I'd rather be a free man in my grave than living as a puppet or a slave"



"Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one." Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, Charles Mackay, 1852

Graph Update to week 44

2020-11-17 20:24

Going into the second half of 2020 all-cause mortality rising, 2.5 % higher than the five-year average, about the same as last year. Respiratory deaths a little below average but 'Covid mentioned-on-the-death-certificate' deaths are higher — how many are really covid? Deaths by age group: over 75s are high but not abnormal, 65–74 are notably higher, 45–64 high but not exeptional; the big question— are these covid or the consequences of delayed treatment for everything else? Difficult to say now we have an epidemic of shoddy testing.

ONS Weekly reported deaths 2010-2021

ONS Weekly reported deaths 2010-2020

Comparing cumulative deaths on a mid-year to mid-year basis.

ONS Weekly reported deaths 2010-2020 by age group

ONS England and Wales weekly deaths under 75

NHS England, compared to ONS by date of death

Age Profile

From week 11 of 2020 this includes "a separate breakdown of the numbers of deaths involving COVID-19. That is, where COVID-19 or suspected COVID-19 was mentioned anywhere on the death certificate, including in combination with other health conditions".

ONS all deaths 2015-2020

Sources

Notes from the ONS

Counting deaths involving the coronavirus (COVID-19)

And the notes that accompany the weekly registered deaths:

Weekly death figures provide provisional counts of the number of deaths registered in England and Wales for which data are available, and the number of deaths for which the underlying cause was coded to respiratory diseases as defined in the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems Tenth Revision (ICD-10). From 31 March 2020 these figures also show the number of deaths involving coronavirus (COVID-19), based on any mention of COVID-19 on the death certificate.

Provisional data on deaths registered in each week (ending on a Friday) are compiled at the end of the following week.

Bank Holidays could affect the number of registrations made within those weeks.

The counts of deaths from specific conditons are updated with each weekly publication as the coding of the underlying cause is not always complete at the time of production.

To meet user needs, we publish very timely but provisional counts of death registrations in England and Wales in our Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional dataset. These are presented by sex, age group and regions (within England), as well as for Wales as a whole. To allow time for registration and processing, these figures are published 11 days after the week ends.

Because of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, our regular weekly deaths release now provides a separate breakdown of the numbers of deaths involving COVID-19. That is, where COVID-19 or suspected COVID-19 was mentioned anywhere on the death certificate, including in combination with other health conditions. Previously, the number of deaths with an underlying cause of respiratory disease was published a week behind the current week. These will now be published for the current week and revised the following week. Alongside this, a new bulletin summarises the latest weekly information and will be updated each week during the pandemic. A link to the bulletin can be found in the notice box on the weekly deaths dataset page.